Shabby Dow Jones VS Awakening Shanghai Composite Index
Have
you taken my advice on the 20th December 2012 (2013…. Is it good or
bad?)? Still remember when I suggest readers to let go their shares which has
given them profit? Okay, today do let me elaborate more on the Dow Jones weekly
chart in order to give you a clearer picture on what I’ve analyzed.
Most
of the traders who rely on technical analysis would understand the basis of Elliott Wave Theory. According to this
theory, the wave counts starts from number 1 till 5, then an adverse direction
will occur which starts from A to C
If we
were to apply this theory in Dow Jones (which I always do), we can clearly see
from year 2010 till now (2012), the cycle has gone through and now it is in
wave number 5 or even has the possibility that we are entering the adverse
direction of A,B & C.
Regardless
of which position we are at, we can clearly see that investors or fund managers
are not putting too much of confidence towards US Markets. As such the
possibility of having a bleak 2013 for US and Malaysia markets would be very
high. With this kind of probability, my advice is to stay “on the fence” or NOT to emerge into shares and equities too much.
Perhaps you may change your investment direction to FOREX or FUTURES due to the
possibility of strengthening US Dollars? (Please refer to Forexter for advise).
Although
US don’t seem to look that promising for 2013, there is another uprising
superpower country which perhaps we could pay attention to…. which is CHINA . Let us
recall Shanghai Composite Index’s (SCI) history… SCI has fallen deeply from
6000 +/- to the lowest of 1900 +/-, if we were to match with Dow Jones and SCI,
we may see there is a “Mirror” effect between them. As such, one part of the
world seems to be bleak; perhaps there would be another part of the world that
could be promising.
Let’s
analyze SCI technically; SCI has contributed a sudden Breakthrough (see the red circle) which has a high possibility of a
“new trend” may appear which promises bullish effect for a certain period of
time. For a short period of time, SCI seems to be very “Strong” and there is a
high possibility that it may be trying to reach the resistance level of
approximately 2400 to 2470 .
In
conclusion, I would advice traders to actually “Look East” as there might be
opportunities which can hedge the “lost opportunities” which may happen in US
and Malaysia
next year.
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